We expect 2028 to be different than now – but how? Current struggles and crises can forge opportunities we might never have imagined otherwise.
Curious about what the world will look like in a few short years? Wondering what women and men, working together in roughly equal numbers, will be challenged to legislate, referee, and make into new policy?
Read on for a list of all-but-certainties, a few likelihoods, and the occasional kooky tech prediction about where we'll be when we reach #5050x2028. Talk about it with friends, coworkers, and family members!
What the US will look like:
We’ll be older…
Well, duh. Yet, with the enormous size of the Baby Boom generation, the percentage of people 65+ will increase to about 20% of the population. From just over 49 million Americans in 2016, the number of people over 65 is predicted to increase to more than 73 million by 2030.
We’ll be more diverse…
The population of people who are of “two or more races,” as defined by the Census Bureau, is projected to be the fastest growing racial or ethnic group in the decades ahead.
The American Dream in 2028:
The safety net is full of holes…
Social Security & Medicare are running out of money. Without action from Congress, Medicare’s hospital insurance trust fund is slated to run dry in 2026. Social Security benefits are expected to be reduced by 2035. Meanwhile, remember the population boom in older Americans above?
The nation may be emerging from an economic crisis of unprecedented proportions.
The vast unknowns of global susceptibility to a single virus, such as Covid19, make predictions even a few years into the future both difficult and faulty. Yet already we realize that work, school, healthcare, money, consumption, recreation, and homelife can shift like sand beneath our feet in a matter of days. By 2028…
- government interventions to uphold vast portions of the U.S. population and business community have probably begun to blur the lines that drive our beliefs about self-sufficiency.
- professions like nursing, teaching, even warehousing and logistics, long overlooked by a society that relies on them, may finally rise in cultural esteem, while other professions decline in numbers and prestige.
- we may have weathered enough to recognize that women are disproportionately harmed in many crises, due to cultural norms that are no longer viable.
If you invested in a college degree, you may find yourself struggling alongside degree-less peers.
In fact, with the development of more advanced artificial intelligence and other technological progress, many jobs can be lost to automation in a few short years, regardless of other circumstances. We’ve already seen this in day-to-day settings, from fast food to customer service. Some experts predict that AI will replace 40% of all jobs by 2035. The Brookings’ Institute issued a more conservative prediction: that 25% of all jobs in the US are at a high risk for automation.
Each of these developments drives policy needs that demand a diversity of experience and perspective – and the skill to weave differences into a stronger fabric for society.
All that said, we feel pretty confident about some things:
- We’ll see a lot of “self-driving” vehicles on the roads, from 18-wheelers to your next rideshare. Even in 2019, autonomous vehicles had already logged several million miles of road time with few incidents. In 2028, they’ll be far more common.
- Women in elected office will wield skills demanded by rapid cultural change – from collaborative instincts to firm yet empathetic leadership. Even in early 2020, data showed more women in state legislatures means more bills are enacted across the board, by both women and men – aka getting more done. In 2028, the electorate will settle for nothing less.
And we’re very intrigued by other things:
- Your smartphone may be able to detect not just your blood alcohol level, but life-threatening disease through… the air you breathe. The SNIFFPHONE project is currently in the works, and it’s pretty cool.
- Your eyes may, more or less, record what you see! We may be wearing contacts with embedded cameras, among other features. Sound closer to science fiction than reality? Think again. Google and Samsung already have patents for this technology!
In 2028, the new normal will include 50/50 representation in government—men and women, just like the general population.
Trends say this will take much longer to accomplish. But we all know how quickly things can change.
Are you willing to keep running government with only half the available human resources?
You can make 50/50 a reality by 2028.
Talk about these probabilities and predictions with people you know. What ideas can you add?
Where, specifically, will women in elected offices, from local to national levels, have the greatest impact?